Bills quarterback Josh Allen will put his undefeated record in Thursday games on the line when the Buffalo Bills host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Week 8 Thursday Night Football game at Highmark Stadium. The 27-year-old Allen is a perfect 5-0 on Thursdays, including a 3-0 record in primetime matchups. All five of those victories have come on the road. In those five wins, the Bills have averaged 28 points per game. Allen will square off against Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield, who is 2-0 as a starter on Thursdays.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Buccaneers odds while the over/under for total points scored is 43.5. Before you make any Buccaneers vs. Bills picks or NFL predictions, you need to see the NFL betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 173-122 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 27-14 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has zeroed in on Bills vs. Buccaneers and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can see the model’s picks only at SportsLine. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Buccaneers vs. Bills:
- Bills vs. Buccaneers spread: Buffalo -9.5
- Bills vs. Buccaneers over/under: 43.5 points
- Bills vs. Buccaneers money line: Buffalo -450, Tampa Bay +345
- BUF: Bills rank second in the league in sacks (25)
- TB: Buccaneers are second in turnovers forced (seven)
- Bills vs. Buccaneers: See picks here
Why the Bills can cover
Highmark Stadium has been a house of horrors for opposing teams recently. Buffalo has won six straight games at home, outscoring opponents by an average mark of 31-17 over that stretch. The Bills’ six-game home winning streak is the third longest active home win streak in the league behind only the Cowboys (10) and 49ers (nine).
In addition, Buffalo faces a Tampa Bay defense that has struggled against the run and pass the last two weeks. Two weeks ago, the Buccaneers were torched through the air by the Lions, giving up a season-worst 340 passing yards. Last week, the defense was gashed by the Falcons for 156 rushing yards, the second highest total of any Tampa Bay opponent this season. See which team to pick here.
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Tampa Bay has played well on the road this season. In Week 1 at Minnesota, the Buccaneers got two touchdown passes from quarterback Baker Mayfield and forced three turnovers in a 20-17 victory. Then in Week 4 at New Orleans, Mayfield passed for three touchdowns in a 26-9 win.
In addition, Tampa Bay faces a Buffalo offense that has started slowly over the last three games. Since the start of October, the Bills are averaging just 3.3 points in the first half; only the Steelers (3.0) and Packers (1.5) have averaged fewer. Buffalo also is averaging just 134.3 yards in the first half in October, which ranks 27th in the league. See which team to pick here.
How to make Bills vs. Buccaneers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, calling for 42 total points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50% of simulations. You can see the model’s NFL picks and analysis only at SportsLine.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Bills on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Bills spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.