1. |
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY |
1.1. |
Introduction and Overview of this Report |
1.2. |
Key Report Takeaways |
1.3. |
Scope of this Report |
1.4. |
Copper in an ICE Car |
1.5. |
Advantages of copper for wiring |
1.6. |
Wiring Loom Forecast 2023-2034 |
1.7. |
Copper and Powertrain Electrification |
1.8. |
Electric Traction Motors and their Copper |
1.9. |
Copper Within Li-ion Cells |
1.10. |
Cathode Market Share and Battery Pack Copper Intensity (2015-2034) |
1.11. |
Copper for High Voltage Connections in an EV |
1.12. |
Al HV Cables Market Adoption |
1.13. |
Copper Within Power Electronics |
1.14. |
SAE Levels of Automation in Cars |
1.15. |
Copper for Automating Vehicles |
1.16. |
Number of Sensors For Each Autonomy Level |
1.17. |
Copper Required for a BEV Robotaxi |
1.18. |
Copper Content per Vehicle 2020-2034 |
1.19. |
Automotive Market Forecast 2020-2034 |
1.20. |
Total Copper Demand Forecast 2020-2034 |
1.21. |
Forecast of Copper Demand by Main Applications 2020-2034 |
1.22. |
Copper Demand Forecast within Electrification Components 2020-2034 |
1.23. |
Copper Demand Forecast for Autonomous Technologies Forecast 2020-2034 |
2. |
INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINE CARS AND NON-POWERTRAIN COPPER |
2.1.1. |
Historic Copper Content |
2.1.2. |
Copper in an ICE Car |
2.2. |
Wiring Loom |
2.2.1. |
The Wiring Loom |
2.2.2. |
Wiring Loom: ICE Connections |
2.2.3. |
Wiring Loom: Other Connections |
2.2.4. |
Technical Advantages of Copper in the Wiring Loom |
2.2.5. |
Other Advantages of Copper |
2.2.6. |
Summary of Advantages of Copper for Wiring |
2.2.7. |
Wiring Loom Cu Estimate: Method 1 |
2.2.8. |
Wiring Loom Cu Estimate: Method 2 |
2.2.9. |
Wiring Loom Cu Estimate: Method 3 |
2.2.10. |
Wiring Loom Cu Estimate: Method 4 |
2.2.11. |
Wiring Loom Reduction |
2.2.12. |
Wiring Loom Reduction: Substitution and Gauge |
2.2.13. |
Wiring Loom Reduction: Network Optimisation |
2.2.14. |
Communication Protocols CAN vs Ethernet |
2.2.15. |
Wiring Loom Growth |
2.2.16. |
Wiring Loom Growth/Reduction Factor Forecast |
2.2.17. |
Wiring Loom Forecast 2023-2034 |
2.2.18. |
Wiring Loom Summary |
2.3. |
Starter, Alternator, Small Motors and Other |
2.3.1. |
Bigger Non-Traction Motors in the Vehicle |
2.3.2. |
Starter Motor and Alternator Copper Content |
2.3.3. |
Starter motor |
2.3.4. |
Alternators |
2.3.5. |
Small Motors |
2.3.6. |
Power Steering and Anti-Lock Brakes |
2.3.7. |
Fans and blowers |
2.3.8. |
Small Motors in Luxury Features |
2.3.9. |
Electric windows, wipers and mirrors |
2.3.10. |
Electric Seats |
2.3.11. |
Electric Tailgates and Electrically Adjusted Steering Column |
2.3.12. |
Japanese Small Cars, Sliding Seats and Doors |
2.3.13. |
Infotainment |
2.3.14. |
Airconditioning and Thermal Management- Condenser and Evaporator Cores |
2.3.15. |
A/C and Thermal Management Now Completely Aluminium |
2.3.16. |
Other Components |
2.3.17. |
Copper from ICE Cars |
2.3.18. |
Non-Powertrain Copper |
2.3.19. |
Summary and Conclusions |
3. |
ELECTRIC MOTORS FOR ELECTRIC VEHICLES |
3.1.1. |
Electric Motors |
3.1.2. |
Summary of Traction Motor Types |
3.1.3. |
Materials Used in Electric Motors |
3.2. |
Rotor and Stator Windings |
3.2.1. |
Aluminium vs Copper in Rotors |
3.2.2. |
Round Wire vs Hairpins for Copper in Stators |
3.2.3. |
Round vs Bar Windings: OEMs |
3.2.4. |
Hairpin Winding Regional Market Shares |
3.2.5. |
Aluminium vs Copper Windings |
3.2.6. |
Compressed Aluminum Windings |
3.2.7. |
Aluminum Windings: Players |
3.3. |
Electric Motor Market Trends |
3.3.1. |
Convergence on PM by Major Automakers |
3.3.2. |
Motor Number, Type and Power Trends: Global 2015-2022 |
3.3.3. |
Motor Trends That Could Impact Copper Utilisation |
3.3.4. |
Magnet Price Increase Risk |
3.3.5. |
Reducing Rare-Earths Can Increase Copper |
3.4. |
Axial Flux Motors |
3.4.1. |
Radial vs Axial Flux Motors |
3.4.2. |
Axial Flux Motors Enter the EV Market |
3.4.3. |
Copper for Axial Flux Motors |
3.5. |
In-Wheel Motors |
3.5.1. |
In-Wheel Motors: Benefits |
3.5.2. |
In-Wheel Motors: Downsides |
3.5.3. |
Examples of Vehicles with In-Wheel Motors |
3.5.4. |
Copper for In-Wheel Motors |
3.5.5. |
Future of In-Wheel Motors |
3.6. |
Electric Motor Copper Intensity Examples |
3.6.1. |
Audi e-tron Induction Motor |
3.6.2. |
BMW i3 Permanent Magnet Motor |
3.6.3. |
BMW Wound Rotor Motor |
3.6.4. |
Renault Zoe Wound Rotor Design |
3.6.5. |
Tesla Model S ACIM Cu Calculation |
3.6.6. |
Tesla Induction Motor |
3.6.7. |
Tesla Model 3 Permanent Magnet Motor |
3.6.8. |
Copper Content in BEV Electric Traction Motors (Cars) |
3.6.9. |
Copper Estimates in HEV Car Motors |
3.6.10. |
Copper Estimates in BEV Car Motors |
3.6.11. |
Copper Intensity in Different Drivetrains |
3.7. |
Forecasts and Assumptions |
3.7.1. |
Commentary on Electric Traction Motor Trends in Cars |
3.7.2. |
Automotive Electric Motor Copper Forecast (Drivetrain) 2015-2034 |
3.7.3. |
Automotive Electric Motor Copper Forecast (Motor Type) 2015-2034 |
3.7.4. |
Automotive Electric Motor Copper Forecast (Region) 2015-2034 |
4. |
COPPER INTENSITY AND DEMAND FROM BATTERY CELLS |
4.1.1. |
What is a Li-ion Battery? |
4.1.2. |
Lithium Battery Chemistries |
4.1.3. |
Li-ion Batteries: From Cell to Pack |
4.1.4. |
Materials Found in Cells and Battery Packs |
4.1.5. |
Where is copper used in a Li-ion battery cell? |
4.1.6. |
Why use copper as the anode current collector? |
4.1.7. |
Are there alternatives to copper? |
4.1.8. |
Technological impacts on copper use over the next 10 years |
4.1.9. |
Copper in other batteries? |
4.1.10. |
Introduction to copper material intensity and demand |
4.1.11. |
Copper Intensity Changes with Chemistry |
4.1.12. |
Copper Intensity by Cathode Chemistry |
4.1.13. |
Anode Materials |
4.1.14. |
Copper Intensity by Anode Chemistry |
4.1.15. |
Copper Intensity by Cell Design Factors |
4.1.16. |
Copper intensity by cell design factors |
4.1.17. |
Examples of Thin Current collectors |
4.1.18. |
Copper intensity for hybrids |
4.1.19. |
Routes to better Li-ion and alternatives |
4.1.20. |
Impact of next-gen BEV battery technology |
4.1.21. |
IDTechEx Li-ion battery timeline |
4.1.22. |
Is there potential for copper reduction? |
4.1.23. |
Next generation technologies |
4.2. |
BEV Batteries |
4.2.1. |
Cathode Market Share for Li-ion in EVs (2015-2033) |
4.2.2. |
Average Li-ion cell copper intensity outlook |
4.2.3. |
Current copper use in BEV battery packs |
4.2.4. |
Introduction to Battery Interconnects |
4.2.5. |
Aluminum vs Copper for Interconnects |
4.2.6. |
Copper use in BEV battery packs |
4.2.7. |
Cell-to-Pack Trends |
4.2.8. |
Shifts in cell and pack design |
4.2.9. |
Copper per BEV battery pack |
4.2.10. |
Copper Content of BEV, PHEV, HEV, and FCEV Batteries |
4.2.11. |
Battery Pack Copper Forecast (Drivetrain) 2015-2034 |
5. |
HIGH VOLTAGE CABLES |
5.1.1. |
High Voltage Connections in an EV |
5.1.2. |
Common Cable Specifications by Connection |
5.1.3. |
Shielded vs Unshielded Cables |
5.1.4. |
Tesla High Voltage Cables |
5.1.5. |
BEV Examples |
5.1.6. |
High Voltage Cable Length Trends |
5.2. |
Core Conductor |
5.2.1. |
Copper vs Aluminum Cables |
5.2.2. |
Aluminium HV Cabling Disadvantages |
5.2.3. |
Electrical Properties |
5.2.4. |
Weight |
5.2.5. |
Cost |
5.2.6. |
Al HV Cable Manufacturers for EVs |
5.2.7. |
Al HV Cable Manufacturers for EVs |
5.2.8. |
Tesla Model 3 Al Cable |
5.2.9. |
Al HV Cables Market Adoption |
5.2.10. |
High Voltage Cable Copper Forecast (Drivetrain) 2015-2034 |
5.2.11. |
High Voltage Cable Copper Forecast (Region) 2015-2034 |
6. |
POWER ELECTRONICS |
6.1.1. |
What is Power Electronics? |
6.1.2. |
Power Electronics Use in Electric Vehicles |
6.1.3. |
Benchmarking Silicon, Silicon Carbide & Gallium Nitride Semiconductors |
6.1.4. |
Traditional EV Inverter |
6.1.5. |
Discretes & Modules |
6.1.6. |
Power Discretes and Power Modules |
6.1.7. |
Module Packaging Material Dimensions |
6.1.8. |
SiC Die Area Reduction |
6.1.9. |
Advanced Wire Bonding Techniques |
6.1.10. |
Tesla’s SiC package |
6.1.11. |
Multi-Layered Printed Circuit Boards |
6.1.12. |
Tesla Model 3 Inverter PCB |
6.1.13. |
Nissan Leaf Inverter PCB |
6.1.14. |
Copper Intensity in Si IGBT EV Inverter |
6.1.15. |
Copper Intensity in Silicon Carbide EV Inverter |
6.1.16. |
Inverter Trends: Impact on Copper |
6.1.17. |
Tesla Onboard Charger |
6.1.18. |
OBC Copper Intensity |
6.1.19. |
DC DC Converter Copper Intensity |
6.1.20. |
Copper Intensity in Power Electronics |
6.1.21. |
Power Electronics Copper Forecast (Drivetrain) 2020-2034 |
6.1.22. |
Power Electronics Copper Forecast (Component) 2020-2034 |
6.1.23. |
Power Electronics Copper Forecast (Region) 2020-2034 |
6.1.24. |
Power Electronics Key Conclusions |
6.2. |
Summary of Copper for Powertrains |
6.2.1. |
Copper and Powertrain Electrification |
6.2.2. |
Powertrain Copper Forecast 2015-2034 |
7. |
COPPER CONTENT IN AUTONOMOUS SYSTEMS AND THEIR COMPONENTS |
7.1.1. |
SAE Levels of Automation in Cars |
7.1.2. |
Each Sensors Key Appeals in an Autonomous Vehicle |
7.1.3. |
Copper in Autonomous Sensors |
7.1.4. |
Copper in Autonomous Vehicles |
7.1.5. |
Key Radar Trend: Size Reduction |
7.1.6. |
Radar Copper Content |
7.1.7. |
Radar Board Shrinkage and Impact on Copper |
7.1.8. |
Diverging Radar Types |
7.1.9. |
Camera Copper Content |
7.1.10. |
Impact of Late Sensor Fusion |
7.1.11. |
LiDAR Copper Content |
7.1.12. |
Important Trends In LiDAR |
7.1.13. |
ADCU – Autonomous Driving Control Unit |
7.2. |
The Developing Autonomous Cars Market |
7.2.1. |
Transition to Higher Levels of Autonomy in Private Cars |
7.2.2. |
Case Study: Mercedes S-Class (2021), EQS (2022) |
7.2.3. |
Mercedes S-class – Sensor Suite |
7.2.4. |
Case study – Audi A8 (2017) |
7.2.5. |
Tesla’s Sensor Suite |
7.2.6. |
Sensors in Private Autonomous Vehicles |
7.2.7. |
Emergence of level 3 and Level 4 Technologies |
7.2.8. |
Level 4 Robotaxis are Different From Privately Owned Level 4 |
7.2.9. |
State of development |
7.2.10. |
Waymo Sensor Suite |
7.2.11. |
Cruise Sensor Suite |
7.2.12. |
Robotaxi Testing and Deployment Locations |
7.2.13. |
Total Sensors For Level 0 to Level 4 and Robotaxis |
7.2.14. |
Number of Sensors For Each Autonomy Level |
7.2.15. |
Total Copper to Automate Vehicles |
7.2.16. |
Autonomous and ADAS Sensors Forecast 2020-2034 |
7.2.17. |
Copper Demand for Autonomous Technologies Forecast 2020-2034 |
8. |
FORECASTS |
8.1. |
Methodology |
8.2. |
Addressable Market Forecast (SAE Level) 2020-2034 |
8.3. |
Addressable Market Forecast (Powertrain) 2015-2034 |
8.4. |
Addressable Market Forecast (Region) 2015-2034 |
8.5. |
Total Copper Demand (all components) 2020-2034 |
8.6. |
Total Copper Demand (Main Applications) 2020-2034 |
8.7. |
Total Copper Demand (Region) 2020-2034 |
8.8. |
Copper for Electrification (Components) 2020-2034 |
8.9. |
Copper for Electrification (Powertrain) 2020-2034 |
8.10. |
Copper for Electrification (Regions) 2020-2034 |
8.11. |
Copper Demand for Autonomous Technologies Forecast 2020-2034 |
8.12. |
Copper For Automation (SAE Level) |
8.13. |
Copper For Automation (Region) |