Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows price increases cooled in April


 

The latest reading of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed price increases slowed in April as inflation remained above the Fed’s 2% target. The release comes as investors have been closely watching data releases for signs of how President Trump’s tariff policy is impacting the economy.

The “core” Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which strips out food and energy costs and is closely watched by the central bank, rose 2.5% on an annual basis, in line with expectations and lower than the 2.7% seen in March. Core prices rose 0.1% in April from the prior month, in line with expectations and the monthly increase seen in March.

On a yearly basis, PCE increased by 2.1%, below the 2.2% economists had expected.

The release is yet another sign that while economists and consumers alike expect Trump’s tariffs to push prices higher, the inflationary impact from policy largely isn’t showing up in hard economic data. Friday morning’s release reflects the month of April, the first month in which a large portion of Trump’s tariffs were in effect.

It does not include any impacts from the 90-day tariff pause between the US and China.

Read more: What Trump’s tariffs mean for the economy and your wallet

On Wednesday, minutes from the Federal Reserve’s May meeting revealed officials are growing increasingly concerned about how Trump’s policies could impact its fight against inflation.

“Almost all participants commented on the risk that inflation could prove to be more persistent than expected,” the minutes read.

Groceries are seen at a Walmart supermarket in Houston, Texas, on May 15, 2025. Walmart on Thursday reported another solid quarter behind sales gains in the United States, but warned of higher prices and continued uncertainty over President Donald Trump's tariffs. (Photo by RONALDO SCHEMIDT / AFP) (Photo by RONALDO SCHEMIDT/AFP via Getty Images)
Investors and consumers alike have been closely watching for any price increases due to President Trump’s tariffs. (RONALDO SCHEMIDT/AFP via Getty Images) · RONALDO SCHEMIDT via Getty Images

Josh Schafer is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X @_joshschafer.

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