Daniil Medvedev made the final of a 500-series event last week in Vienna. He will open his 2023 Rolex Paris Masters draw on Wednesday when he faces Grigor Dimitrov at the ATP Paris tennis event. This will be a second-round match in the tournament, which is the final Masters Series event of the calendar year. My Medvedev vs Dimitrov prediction is that the latter player will win at least one set in this upcoming match.
Order of Play: Right-click/Open in the New Tab to check match times: subject to change
Recent Match Results for Daniil Medvedev
Medvedev went 9-4 in sets played at ATP Vienna last week. He fell in the championship match to Jannik Sinner after negotiating a difficult early-round draw. Medvedev has been a major factor in most of the tournaments he has entered. However, the titles have been missing for the Russian lately. Sinner has been in his way for a couple of finals. Meanwhile, Medvedev fell short of a title in New York, losing to Novak Djokovic in the 2023 US Open final a couple of months ago.
ATP Vienna final: Loss to Jannik Sinner
Shanghai Masters R32: Loss to Sebastian Korda
ATP Beijing final: Loss to Jannik Sinner
US Open final: Loss to Novak Djokovic
Cincinnati Masters R16: Loss to Zverev
Canadian Masters quarterfinals: Loss to de Minaur
Recent matches (Right click/Open link in new tab): Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev vs Grigor Dimitrov Head-to-Head Series
Medvedev is 6-2 against Grigor Dimitrov, including 15-5 on sets played. They have a very recent match in their head-to-head series. Medvedev eliminated Dimitrov from the Vienna draw last week in a match that went three sets. One of Dimitrov’s wins over Medvedev came way back in 2017, at a time when the Bulgarian was in the prime of his career and Medvedev was still developing. This is a series that is fairly one-sided, especially when you discard the early-career loss for Medvedev.
The Draw: Right-click/Open in the New Tab for the draw for the 2023 Rolex Paris Masters
Medvedev vs Dimitrov Prediction: Dimitrov wins a set
There is a chance that Dimitrov catches Medvedev off form in this match. What bettors should be noting is that Medvedev also made the Beijing final in early October. After he lost that final to Jannik Sinner, Medvedev did not have a lot of energy for the ensuing Shanghai Masters. The World No. 3 lost to Sebastian Korda in that event three days after losing the Beijing final.
Bettors should take Dimitrov to win a set in this match at odds of -125 (bet365). Not only has Dimitrov been pretty solid lately, but there’s a chance that all the tennis Medvedev played last week might slow him a little this week. However, betting Dimitrov to win this match outright is a risky play because of the head-to-heads.
Additional reading: All previews for upcoming tennis matches!