Nagorno-Karabakh: Conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenians explained


Azerbaijan says it has begun a military operation in the breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh.

The territory is recognised internationally as part of Azerbaijan but large areas of it have been controlled by ethnic Armenians for three decades.

Nagorno-Karabakh, which lies in the mountainous South Caucasus region, is at the heart of one of the world’s longest-running conflicts.

Azerbaijan and Armenia fought a bloody war over the territory in the late 1980s and early 1990s, and it has been the trigger for further violence in the years since.

The last major escalation in the conflict took place in 2020 when thousands of people were reported killed in six weeks of fierce fighting.

A ceasefire and the deployment of Russian peacekeepers brought the fighting to a halt at the time, but tensions had been ratcheting up for months ahead of the latest military operation.

What led to the latest fighting?

Fears of fresh violence came when Azerbaijan mounted an effective blockade of a vital route into the enclave in December 2022.

The Lachin Corridor is the only road that connects the Republic of Armenia to the roughly 120,000 ethnic Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh.

It is a key artery for supplies, and residents in Nagorno-Karabakh reported severe shortages of basic food items and medication in recent months.

Azerbaijan accused Armenia of using the road to bring in military supplies, which Armenia denied.

Armenia-Azerbaijan: Nagorno-Karabakh map

Map of the Nagorno-Karabakh region in Azerbaijan, showing areas of the former autonomous region where Russian peacekeeping forces operate. The map also highlights some of the cities in the area and the Lachin corridor, which, though not a part of the Nagorno-Karabakh region, is to remain under the control of Russian peacekeepers to act as a connection with Armenia for ethnic-Armenian population in the region.

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Observers reported a build-up of Azerbaijani troops during the blockade, but that was in turn denied in Baku.

Hopes that tensions might ease came when a small number of aid trucks operated by the International Committee of the Red Cross were allowed into Nagorno-Karabakh in mid-September through the Lachin Corridor and, separately, the Aghdam Road from Azerbaijan.

But keeping these transport links open, in particular the Lachin Corridor, relied heavily on the presence of Russian peacekeepers deployed in the area since 2020.

And Moscow’s attention and military resources have been diverted by its invasion of Ukraine. The Armenian prime minister said recently that Russia was “spontaneously leaving the region”.

What led to war?

Modern-day Armenia and Azerbaijan became part of the Soviet Union in the 1920s. Nagorno-Karabakh was an ethnic-majority Armenian region, but the Soviets gave control over the area to Azerbaijani authorities.

When the Soviet Union began to collapse in the late 1980s, Nagorno-Karabakh’s regional parliament voted to become part of Armenia.

Azerbaijan sought to suppress the separatist movement, while Armenia backed it. This led to ethnic clashes and – after Armenia and Azerbaijan declared independence from Moscow – a full-scale war.

Years of bloodshed and suffering followed.

BBC Azerbaijani Service editor Konul Khalilova remembers how hundreds of thousands of ethnic Azerbaijanis were forced out of Armenia, becoming refugees in Azerbaijan.

In February 1992, residents of the Azerbaijani town Khojaly, situated in the Nagorno-Karabakh area, were killed by Armenian forces, helped by some of the Russian military. More than 600 people died, according to Azerbaijan. Armenia disputes the account and the number of deaths.

Over the years, tens of thousands of people were killed and more than a million displaced amid reports of ethnic cleansing and massacres committed by both sides.

An Armenian soldier watches Azerbaijani troops on the frontline near the town of Hadrut, Nagorno-Karabakh (April 1993)

Konul Khalilova says it sometimes surprises her how little young people in both countries know about the atrocities.

No-one tells Armenians about the Azerbaijanis who were killed; likewise, young Azerbaijanis today do not hear about pogroms of the Armenian people in Azerbaijani cities such as Sumgayit and Baku at the end of the 1980s, she says.

Azerbaijan disputes the accounts of pogroms.

The first Nagorno-Karabakh war ended with a Russian-brokered ceasefire in 1994, after Armenian forces had gained control of Nagorno-Karabakh and areas adjacent to it.

Under the deal, Nagorno-Karabakh remained part of Azerbaijan, but since then it has mostly been governed by a separatist, self-declared republic, run by ethnic Armenians and backed by the Armenian government.

What happened in 2020?

The situation has been volatile ever since, with bouts of fighting interrupting periods of relative calm.

The biggest military confrontation since the early 1990s happened three years ago during six weeks of heavy fighting.

Azerbaijan won back territory and by the time both sides agreed to sign a Russian-brokered peace deal in November 2020, it had recaptured all the territories surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh – not the enclave itself – held by Armenia since 1994.

Under the agreement, Armenian forces had to withdraw from these areas and have since been confined to a smaller part of the region.

Role of Russia and Turkey

Regional powers have been heavily involved in the conflict over the years.

Nato member Turkey was the first nation to recognise Azerbaijan’s independence in 1991 and has remained a staunch supporter of the country.

Turkish-made Bayraktar drones are said to have played a crucial role in the fighting in 2020, allowing Azerbaijan to make territorial gains.

Armenia, on the other hand, traditionally had good relations with Russia. There is a Russian military base in Armenia, and both are members of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) military alliance of six former Soviet states.

But relations between Armenia and Russia have soured since Nikol Pashinyan, who led huge anti-government protests in 2018, became Armenia’s prime minister.

He recently said Armenia’s reliance on Russia as its single source for security was a “strategic error”.

Armenia then announced this month it was hosting joint exercises with US forces which were criticised by Moscow as “unfriendly steps”.

President Vladimir Putin denied Armenia had broken off its alliance with Russia, but declared that Yerevan had “essentially recognised” Azerbaijan’s sovereignty over Nagorno-Karabakh.

“If Armenia itself recognised that Karabakh is part of Azerbaijan, what should we do?” he said during an economic forum in Vladivostok.

What next?

Access to the area for independent observers is extremely difficult and it is unclear how widespread the current military operations are and how long they will last.

What is clear is the stark contrast that remains between the two countries.

Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev has repeatedly threatened in the past to retake the whole territory of Nagorno-Karabakh by force, if necessary.

In 2019, Mr Pashinyan told crowds of ethnic Armenians assembled in the main city in Karabakh that “Artsakh is Armenia, full stop.” Artsakh is the Armenian name for Nagorno-Karabakh.


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