Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605208) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology’s price-to-earnings (or “P/E”) ratio of 71.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 36x and even P/E’s below 21x are quite common. Although, it’s not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it’s so lofty.

For example, consider that Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology’s financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company’s bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 84% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 39% over the next year, which really puts the company’s recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it’s alarming that Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology’s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren’t willing to let go of their stock at any price. There’s a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology’s P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we’d caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren’t impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders’ investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Shanghai Yongmaotai Automotive Technology (2 are significant!) that we have uncovered.

It’s important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.